Year In Review & 2010 Predictions
By Ed Duncan, Consultant, SBSC, MCSE, MCSA
This is the last issue of 2009 for our fledgling newsletter, and it's been a pleasure providing you with topics that we hope you found interesting regarding the world of IT. This has been quite a challenging 2009 for most of us, so I wanted to end the year on a lighter note. We'll start out by reviewing some of the highs and lows this year in technology, and then I get to have a little fun by predicting what events we might see in 2010. Please note, I am not clairvoyant, I can't see into the future, nor do I have any insider information. My predictions are all in fun, and may not happen at all, but don't be surprised if they do, because you heard them here first. Now that the disclaimer is out the way let's begin. First a look back:
February 2009: This was the start of multiple Gmail outages for the year. To be fair, Gmail didn't have as many outages this year compared to last year, and the outages that occurred didn't last long. Most outages were resolved within a few hours. Yahoo and Windows Live users experienced outages this year as well. Considering that the email services are free, users really didn't have much to complain about.
March 2009: The stock market hit lowest levels since 1997. The tech industry, which is usually immune to sharp market changes, wasn't spared this time. Massive layoffs hit even the stalwart companies in the tech industry. Some of the tech companies with the largest layoffs include Adobe, Microsoft, Citrix, Sprint, IBM, Ericsson, Lenovo, EMC, Motorola, Logitech, Intel, Nokia, Sun Microsystems, and Cisco, with layoffs totaling more than 45,000 jobs between them.
April 2009: Oracle acquires Sun Microsystems for 7.4 billion dollars. The purchase allows Oracle to position itself as a single source supplier of the hardware and software for its database solutions.
June 2009: Twitter is used to report the uprisings in Iran after the Iranian government censor all other forms of communication in the country. The US government even asked Twitter administrators to postpone a scheduled maintenance outage so news from Iran can continue to flow in from civilians reporting updates as they occur.
July 2009: Microsoft and Yahoo sign a deal that allows Microsoft to power Yahoo's search results while Yahoo manages ad-selling for both companies search sites.
August 2009: Google's CEO Eric Schmidt resigns from Apple's Board of Directors citing a conflict of interest after Apple rejects Google's Voice application for the iPhone.
October 2009: Microsoft launches Windows 7 on the heels of what some consider a disappointing adoption of the Windows Vista operating system. Most analysts hail this version of Windows to be the best to date, and sales have exceeded expectations so far.
November 2009: Motorola launches the Droid mobile phone to compete with Apple's iPhone. The Droid runs Google's Android OS, has a touch screen interface, a hideaway keyboard, longer battery life than the iPhone, and operates over Verizon's 3G network. It doesn't have the number of applications that the iPhone has, but it has only been out for a month, so stay tuned.
Now for some predictions:
1. Microsoft will enjoy success with Exchange 2010 and SharePoint 2010, however companies will be slow to deploy Office 2010. Most businesses running Office 2007 will not upgrade to Office 2010.
2. Lebron James and Dwayne Wade will re-sign with their respective teams, however Chris Bosh will leave Toronto and sign with the New York Knicks.
3. 32-bit pc's and notebooks will no longer be manufactured by any hardware vendors. Desktop and server sales will remain flat. Laptop sales will increase as more of the workforce becomes mobile.
4. Iron Man 2 will be the top grossing movie of 2010, but will receive no Academy Award nominations.
5. Blu-Ray and DVD sales fall sharply as downloadable and streaming media become the new norm for renting movies. Netflix will adapt to the market change but will face stiff competition from Amazon.com and iTunes. Blockbuster files chapter 11.
6. A collection of unreleased Michael Jackson songs will be found and released to the public.
7. Palm and Research In Motion will discuss plans for a merger.
8. Stock market will hit 14,000 by the end of 2010.
9. New advances in wireless technologies will help improve wireless transmission speeds to double or even triple the speed in some cases, to what we commonly see now.
10. Google Voice will be the hot application of 2010.
Happy Holidays everyone, and I wish you a successful 2010!